Posted
October 26, 2000
Unbundling
The Newspaper
By
JOHN F. OPPEDAHL
Former
Publisher & CEO, The Arizona Republic |
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Id like to discuss some fairly
radical ideas about the newspaper industry. I'll be the first to
say that I don't know which of them will work effectively. But I
think we have to try some new thinking to advance our editorial
cause, our advertising mission, and our circulation and readership
objectives.
Think about this: For a long time,
the daily newspaper has been a mass medium. It was designed to
reach as many people as possible. The circulation demand was to
sell "just one more copy."
And everyone pretty much got the
same thing. The news might change between editions and there might
be afternoon and morning editions, but that was about all the
difference there was.
A while back, someone invented geographic
zoning that allowed advertisers and readers some differentiation
by where the readers lived and where they shopped.
ON THE CUSP OF A NEW IDEA
Different by advertiser
goal
Different by reader
interest
I think we're now on the cusp of
a new idea. That idea is that we can, if we want to--and if it
makes economic sense --to differentiate our editorial and advertising
products in some new ways.
But why do that? People keep asking
me, when they point to the drop off in viewership of the national
TV networks, aren't we in newspapers the "last big mass medium?"
Well, we may be, but there are some
other things at work out there, too.
I'm talking about what I think are
the significant strategic shifts that we have to consider in how
we go to market. A very different business model could emerge
that includes the unbundling of our products--by day of the week,
by how we price to advertisers and readers, and by how we satisfy
readers' interests. Here are five things to consider:
First, the delivery of flexible
editorial and advertising products using address-specific delivery.
This really means that not all subscribers get the same product.
Second, we could offer the option
of receiving premium products. For example, if you are a print
subscriber, for some additional charge you could get a password
that allows you access to premium content and information online.
This has little incremental cost and would allow us to bundle
print and online in a powerful way.
Third, consider flexible-day-of-the-week
delivery. Frequency options have always been built around the
newspaper's distribution limitations rather than around consumers'
preferences. For a long time, we could get away--rather arrogantly--with
this approach. I think those days may be over.
Fourth, let's discuss day-of-the-week
pricing to the advertiser. This would allow us not only to better
price each product (for instance, advertisers are used to paying
more for ER than for a rerun of Gomer Pyle), but
to put pressure on the newsroom to prop up underperforming products.
The newsroom's product weaknesses would become more glaring, and
this would add an element of accountability to the newsroom. My
bet is very creative solutions will surface.
Fifth, let's discuss variable pricing
to the consumer. This is a little more controversial but essentially
puts upward pressure on subscription rates in areas of the market
that can afford it. This will allow newspapers to stay more affordable
in lower-ncome or highly competitive areas. Clearly the Audit
Bureau of Circulations (ABC) is starting to think about variable
pricing and there are even some folks in our business who believe
that in short order there will be no ABC pricing restrictions
at all.
BETTER VALUE
How
much time do our consumers have?
Readership vs. circulation
Also, I think we must find a way
to provide better value for the consumer's discretionary time.
Convenience is the key issue here. The currency of time is more
precious to many people than the currency of money. Think about
all the ways you buy time during a week. You have things delivered
that you could pick up, for instance. You buy prepared food instead
of cooking it yourself. You "multi-task." For many products, it
is not an economic decision, it is a time/value proposition. Becoming
relevant means making fundamental changes in the way we go to
market.
In addition, we need to talk more
about readership and the prudent use of free distribution of our
products. There are lots of newspapers that now are distributed
free and there will be more--to new movers to town, to waiting
rooms, etc. Paid circulation is not the measuring stick it used
to be. Today, advertisers are sophisticated enough to know what
rings the cash register and they don't need an annual audit to
tell them what to buy.
What do advertisers want?
Flexibility,
Variety, Targeting
During the last 40 years, an enormous
direct-mail industry has grown up in this country, partly because
newspapers and other print products couldn't solve one goal of
advertisers--to target specific customers. I'm not saying newspapers
and their managers were clueless 40 years ago, but I have heard
that case made.
On the other hand, back then successful
newspapers had such good profit margins. and there was certainly
no newspaper technology available in mailrooms to compete with
the automation and staffing levels of a subsidized post office,
so there couldn't have been much interest on our part in trying
to compete with direct-mail.
Fast forward 40 years and the direct-mail
industry's revenues are about equal, I think, to those of the
newspaper industry. And the advertisers who 40 years ago were
looking for ways to target their markets still want to do that.
And now they've got some other ways to divide up their audiences.
These include cable television, which will soon include digital
cable that will allow advertisers to zone television advertising.
They also include an incredibly diverse magazine business and,
of course, the Internet, the ultimate direct-marketing tool, as
soon as anyone really figures out how to make it work without
antagonizing customers. Junk mail through the post office is one
thing. Junk mail online is really obnoxious.
So what if newspapers could remain
a mass medium and also provide targeted delivery of advertising
and editorial material? What if we could, to some degree, allow
readers to have something different from what their next-door
neighbor gets delivered? That's what unbundling the newspaper
is. For example, some people don't want all those inserts in the
Sunday paper. What if you charged more money for a leaner Sunday
paper without the inserts. That's heresy, of course.
But consider what we did in Phoenix
last summer. It gets quite hot there, and a large part of our
population goes to San Diego. We printed a beach edition of The
Arizona Republic in San Diego using high-powered Xerox machines
at a naval base on the coast. We gave the beach edition away as
part of a marketing program with the San Diego Union-Tribune,
and our effort was very popular. But one of the most unusual aspects
of the beach edition was what happened when we got copies sent
back to Phoenix: All kinds of people in our building, almost all
of them under 30 years of age, asked how they could get the beach
edition delivered to their homes in Phoenix in lieu of the regular
edition of The Republic. They all said the eight-page beach
edition was just about all the news and information they needed
and when could they get it. We also published a four-page edition
at the site of the Phoenix Open. It also was quite popular.
HAVE THINGS CHANGED?
Can
we use new technology?
I believe we'll need to
consider all this as we move through the next 10 years of this
business. So, what's changed to allow us to do this? I think that
mailroom technology in the next five to 10 years will allow us
to operate high-speed equipment that will provide differentiated
products. In the meantime, in Phoenix we've developed some technology
that allows us to do address-specific delivery now.
This technology is a tablet called
the Softbook, an electronic route list that allows our delivery
staff to provide different products to different addresses. For
instance, about 10 percent of our 300,000 home-delivered products
are not The Arizona Republic. They are The Wall
Street Journal, The New York Times, USA Today, and Investors
Business Daily. Soon we also will be delivering the Financial
Times and a local business journal.
ADDRESS-SPECIFIC DELIVERY
Three
Wednesdays in September
94 to 99 percent accurate
delivery
We tried our first address-specific
delivery that was not another newspaper on July 12, when we delivered
1,253 test pieces to Arizona Republic employees, with 97.5
percent accuracy. The following Wednesday, we distributed 19,434
advertising pieces for a local firm, Norwood Furniture, which
wanted to limit its flyer to households with more than $75,000
in household income in a certain part of the local area. To reach
non-subscribers, we used the post office to send out another 29,873
advertisements for Norwood, which we can do easily because we
have also gone into the direct-mail business. The next week, Norwood
was back with 20,576 flyers aimed at households with more than
$50,000 in household income. That week our carries had an accuracy
level of 91.6 percent. The next week a big supermarket chain,
Fry's, wanted delivery of 9,330 pieces in a 2-mile radius around
two of its stores. The following week, Fry's wanted 14,601 pieces
to homes in a 2-mile radius around three stores.
Last month, we used the Softbook
to make differentiated deliveries on three Wednesdays. The first,
on September 6, was an advertisement for a car repair shop for
luxury automobiles to 10,755 houses with household incomes above
$50,000. We used the post office to deliver 5,700 of these, and
used our carrier force to deliver about 5,000. We had 99.1percent
accurate delivery.
WE DELIVERED 86,776 ASD PIECES
Six different advertisers
"Affluent
Lifestyles"
It is, of course, essential that
we have a sophisticated database of all the households in our
local delivery area. It took three years and thousands of dollars
to construct, and last June it was up and running. We believe
we have the best, most complete, most sophisticated database in
the Phoenix area. So, on Sept. 20, our carriers delivered 86,776
ASD pieces for six different advertisers to households we identified
for the advertisers as "affluent lifestyles." That meant that
the household met one of these criteria: Income of more than $100,000,
a home worth more than $300,000, a luxury car newer than 1997,
an investment portfolio of more than $200,000. You can do this
only if you have a database that allows you to divide up your
market by segments. Our latest delivery, last week, was 6,000
pieces of advertising for an insurance company to households with
a resident older than 55.
ASD FOR EDITORIAL
Market
segments
Where are those golfers?
This ability to unbundle for advertisers
really begs the question of doing this for editorial, as well.
We haven't tried that yet, but have several proposals under study.
They include aiming editorial sections to newcomers to town, at
Hispanics, and at other demographic segments. If I were a managing
editor again, I'd love to do a golf section and get it to just
golfers. As it was, we did an ROP golf section a few years ago
and it laid an egg, because, as it turns out, about 80 percent
of the people who read our paper don't play much golf, if any.
With our new database, though, we can now target golfers in our
market if we want to.
SEVEN DIFFERENT PRODUCTS
Any-day
Home delivery
Any-day pricing
Make 'em buy SEVEN
cans of soup
But unbundling a newspaper
doesn't mean just address-specific delivery. It also raises the
question about how many products you are delivering. I think we
all now are delivering seven different products. I think advertisers
treat us that way and readers, especially single-copy buyers,
think so, too.
Think of going to the store to buy
a can of soup and the cashier tells you that you have to buy seven
cans instead of one. What kind of consumer-product strategy is
that? But we do it all the time. I think that eventually that's
going to pass and we will be home-delivering any day anyone wants
the paper. And we'll be pricing advertising by the circulation
on the different days, probably lower on Mondays and Tuesdays,
higher on Fridays and Sundays.
-- John F. Oppedahl, who resigned
Oct. 27 as publisher and CEO of the Arizona Republic, delivered
these remarks to the Inland Press Association on Oct. 16, 2000
in Chicago.